Energy
Andrew
Bermingham
Managing Director, Montreux Energy
Roundtables
Information
Technology
Peter J. Denning
Co-Editor, "Beyond Calculation:
The Next 50 Years of Computing"
Health
& Medicine/Biotechnology
Sir
Richard Sykes
Chairman, GlaxoSmithkline
Space
Aram M. Mika
Vice President, Lockheed Martin Missles
& Space
Director, Advanced Technology Center
Materials
Dr.
Robert Cahn
Professor and Distinguished Research
Fellow, Cambridge University
Communications
David Isenberg
Telecommunications analyst, isen.com
Author "The Rise of the Stupid Network"
Lawrence Lessig
Professor, Stanford Law School
Dr.
Philip Campbell
Editor, "Nature" Magazine
Hugo
de Garis
WTN member, Finalist 2000 World Technology
Award for Health & Medicine
Anita
Goel
WTN member, Finalist 2000 World Technology
Award for Materials
Mitchell
Burnside-Clapp
Nominee 2001 World Technology Award
for Space
Philip
Kennedy
WTN member, Winner 2000 World Technology
Award for Health & Medicine
Bragi
Arnason
Nominee 2001 World Technology Award
for Energy
Summit
within the Summit: Will Technology Save the World?
Reinhart Helmke
Executive Director, UNOPS
Michael
Braungart
Braungart Consulting
Robert
Davies
Chief Executive, Prince of Wales International
Business Leaders Forum
Arne
Fjortoft
Secretary General, Worldview International
Foundation
Sugata
Mitra
Director, Centre for Research in Cognitive
Systems, NIIT (India)
John
P. Thompson
Vice President, Office of the Chairman,
ENRON Europe
Philippe
Brawerman
Chief Executive Office, REEF
Malcolm
Ross
Chief, iDeasTank & Co-Founder,
iWorld Group
James
P. Clark
Chairman, The World Technology Network
World
Technology Awards gala ceremony
Nigel Roberts
CNBC
Charles
Balfour
Senior Vice President, The Nasdaq
Stock Market
Information Technology
Peter Denning
Co-editor, "Beyond Calculation:
The Next 50 Years of Computing"
Information technology is a field ripe with speculation.
In order to predict the future, it is wise to examine
the past. Tracing the history of the field of information
technology, we can examine the track record of IT
predictions in order to better judge the major issues
– the areas in which people speculate today.
We specialize in algorithmic thinking – daily
engaging in the representation of worldly objects
by abstract digital objects. Programmers construct
algorithms to solve the problem in terms of digital
objects. At this point we have developed a theory
of complexity of algorithms. But it appears that almost
all of the interesting problems are completely computationally
intractable. We have seen great strides in technology,
but not in the interactions between technology and
society. It would almost seem that our predictions
tell us more about the observer than about the events
they forecast.
12 Big Claims in Information Technology
1. Wireless microchips will hook everything together
- are you willing?
2. Revolution in software design to make things more
reliable
3. Moore's Law will continue in media other than silicon
4.
Quantum computing will render encryption obsolete
5.
Social conflicts with robots
6.
Information will be accepted as the basic unit of
biology
7.
Ubiquitous computing will make 'green' living fashionable
8.
Electricity usage will grow in proportion to the internet
9.
Computation will become the 3rd paradigm of science
10.
Information will become free
11.
'Armies of robots will explore space,'
12.
'Bionics will extend the average human lifespan to
200 years'
What are the social consequences that accrue if people
accept these claims?
Will they?
Energy
Andrew Bermingham
Managing Director, Montreaux Energy
Dreams for Clean Energy
1.
Environment: Reduce climate changes and particulate
emissions
2.
Globalization
3.
Technological advances
4.
Demand for Premium Power
Energy Trends
1.
Distributed energy generation and 'virtual' utility
plants
2. Renewable energy sources: wind, solar, ocean, hydrogen.
Waves are solar power in liquid form
3. Energy efficiency: LEDs, Superconductors, Nanotechnology,
Molecular-level Catalysts such as platinum and palladium;
Optimization - linear programming and neural networks
4. The auto as a roaming power plant
5. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells: Simple, solid, quiet.
We will not have sustainable development without hydrogen
power.
6. Iceland: World's 1st hydrogen economy
Creative
Destruction
Foster: Innovation
75% of S&P500 companies in 15 years will be companies
that we do not know today. The fact that your company
is small does not mean that you cannot have hubris.
Small companies must also beware of cultural lock-in.
The
Future of Biotech
Sykes - Biotechnology
-
The information revolution and the biotechnology revolutions
will be in parallel.
-
Identify the themes of innovation that drive change
-
The Aging Population and its Use of Technology
-
Value of reducing mortality
-
Reducing the death rates of heart disease and cancer
by 20% are worth $10 trillion a year
-
Facilitate the development of new medicines
-
Enhance access to existing medicines
Vision
for 2020
-
Political, economic, and social backwaters will still
exist, but be greatly reduced
-
Resistance to disease increased
- Ration
or prioritization of resources
